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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
National Keeps Advantage in New Zealand
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - The opposition National party is holding on to the lead in New Zealand’s political scene, according to a poll by Roy Morgan International. 48 per cent of respondents would vote for National in next year’s election to the House of Representatives.
The Labour party is second with 35 per cent, followed by the Greens with 6.5 per cent, New Zealand First with five per cent, the Maori Party with 2.5 per cent, ACT with 1.5 per cent, United Future with 0.5 per cent, and the Progressives also with 0.5 per cent.
Labour leader Helen Clark has acted as New Zealand’s prime minister since December 1999. In November 2006, Don Brash—who had served as National’s leader since October 2003—announced his resignation and was substituted by finance spokesman John Key.
In the September 2005 ballot, Labour elected 50 lawmakers to the 121-seat House of Representatives, and assembled a coalition government with the Progressives. United Future and New Zealand First agreed to support the administration in confidence and supply votes for three years. National finished second, with 48 legislators.
On Dec. 4, Key said a National government would repeal the Electoral Finance Bill, saying, "The rights of hundreds of thousands of New Zealanders who want to participate no longer count. Well, I have a message for the very out of touch prime minister of New Zealand: This bill cost (former justice minister Mark Burton) his job. This act will cost the prime minister her job in 2008." The Labour government has defended the Electoral Finance Bill as a way to regulate advertisements and political donations, not speech.
The next election is expected to take place in September 2008.
Polling Data
If an election were held today which party would receive your party vote?
|
Nov. 25 |
Nov. 11 |
Oct. 28 |
|
|
National |
48% |
48% |
45% |
|
Labour |
35% |
34% |
40.5% |
|
Greens |
6.5% |
7.5% |
6.5% |
|
New Zealand First |
5% |
5.5% |
3.5% |
|
Maori Party |
2.5% |
2.5% |
1.5% |
|
ACT |
1.5% |
1% |
1% |
|
United Future |
0.5% |
1% |
1.5% |
|
Progressives |
0.5% |
-- |
-- |
Source: Roy Morgan International
Methodology: Interviews with 758 New Zealand voters, conducted from Nov. 12 to Nov. 25, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
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