Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 44%, Obama at 23%

November 18, 2007
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the frontrunner in the national race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 44 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the frontrunner in the national race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 44 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 23 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 12 per cent. Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, Delaware senator Joe Biden, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

On Nov. 15, Richardson distanced himself from the other contenders for the Democratic nomination, saying, "It seems that John wants to start a class war. It seems that Barack wants to start a generational war. It seems that Clinton, with all due respect on her plan on Iraq, doesn’t end the war. All I want to do is give peace a chance."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were:
(Democrats and Democratic leaners)

 

Nov. 14

Oct. 24

Oct. 10

Hillary Rodham Clinton

44%

42%

50%

Barack Obama

23%

25%

18%

John Edwards

12%

13%

11%

Bill Richardson

5%

2%

4%

Dennis Kucinich

2%

1%

2%

Joe Biden

1%

2%

1%

Chris Dodd

1%

1%

1%

Mike Gravel

--

--

--

Other

--

1%

1%

Not sure

10%

12%

12%

Would not vote

2%

1%

2%

Source: Opinion Dynamics / Fox News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 900 registered American voters, conducted on Nov. 13 and Nov. 14, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.