Polls & Research
Archive Search
Romney Extends Lead in New Hampshire
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - More Republican Party supporters in New Hampshire would back Mitt Romney in next year’s United States presidential primary, according to a poll by the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. 33 per cent of likely GOP voters in the Granite State would support the former Massachusetts governor, up seven points since September.
New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani is second with 22 per cent, followed by Arizona senator John McCain with 13 per cent, Texas congressman Ron Paul with seven per cent, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee also with seven per cent. Support is lower for actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson and Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo.
In the sample of Democratic Party supporters, New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is first with 36 per cent, followed by Illinois senator Barack Obama with 25 per cent, and former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 14 per cent. Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, Delaware senator Joe Biden, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.
New Hampshire traditionally hosts the first presidential primary in the United States. Since 1952, 11 Republicans and eight Democrats have won the Granite State contest and later earned their party’s presidential nomination. New Hampshire allows independent voters to take part in primaries.
In 2004, Massachusetts senator John Kerry won the Democratic New Hampshire primary with 38.4 per cent, followed by former Vermont governor Howard Dean with 26.3 per cent, retired general Wesley Clark with 12.4 per cent, and Edwards with 12.1 per cent. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the Republican primary without serious opposition.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
If the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
|
Nov. 2007 |
Sept. 2007 |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
33% |
26% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
22% |
20% |
|
John McCain |
13% |
17% |
|
Ron Paul |
7% |
2% |
|
Mike Huckabee |
7% |
7% |
|
Fred Thompson |
5% |
10% |
|
Tom Tancredo |
1% |
1% |
|
Duncan Hunter |
-- |
2% |
|
Undecided |
12% |
15% |
If the New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
|
Nov. 2007 |
Sept. 2007 |
|
|
Hillary Rodham Clinton |
36% |
41% |
|
Barack Obama |
25% |
20% |
|
John Edwards |
14% |
11% |
|
Bill Richardson |
6% |
8% |
|
Dennis Kucinich |
3% |
3% |
|
Joe Biden |
2% |
3% |
|
Chris Dodd |
1% |
2% |
|
Undecided |
13% |
12% |
Source: Marist College Institute for Public Opinion
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 372 likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire, and 458 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, conducted from Nov. 2 to Nov. 6, 2007. Margins of error are 5.5 per cent and 5 per cent.