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Republicans 2008: Giuliani 34%, McCain at 18%
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani remains the frontrunner in the national race for the Republican Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 34 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in a 2008 presidential primary.
Arizona senator John McCain is second with 18 per cent, followed by actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson with 17 per cent, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with 14 per cent, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee with six per cent. Support is lower for California congressman Duncan Hunter and Texas congressman Ron Paul.
On Nov. 10, McCain criticized Romney’s position on the Iraq war, saying, "From what I heard, (...) he supports the surge. But my question is, where was he back when the previous strategy was failing? I (knew) what needed to be done. And the others were silent, or in some cases critical of me, because I wasn’t, quote, loyal to (then-defence secretary Donald) Rumsfeld and the president. So I think those are qualifications that people need to look at."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Next, I’m going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else.
|
Nov. 4 |
Oct. 14 |
Oct. 7 |
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
34% |
32% |
32% |
|
John McCain |
18% |
14% |
16% |
|
Fred Thompson |
17% |
18% |
20% |
|
Mitt Romney |
14% |
10% |
9% |
|
Mike Huckabee |
6% |
6% |
7% |
|
Duncan Hunter |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|
Ron Paul |
1% |
5% |
2% |
|
Tom Tancredo |
-- |
2% |
1% |
|
Sam Brownback |
n.a. |
2% |
1% |
|
Other |
1% |
2% |
1% |
|
No opinion |
9% |
9% |
11% |
Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 430 Republicans and Republican leaners, conducted from Nov. 2 to Nov. 4, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.