Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 42%, Obama at 25%

October 29, 2007
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton is holding on to the top spot in the national race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 42 per cent of respondents would support the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton is holding on to the top spot in the national race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 42 per cent of respondents would support the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 25 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 13 per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

Yesterday, Dodd discussed his campaign, saying, "I realized going in this was going to be an uphill climb, facing almost incumbency status in the case of several candidacies here, and, and knew that to be the case. And again, based on history here, we’ve seen rarely has the front-runner in September—August, September, early October, ended up prevailing in the caucuses and primaries. So if history is any teacher at all, then there’s someone here that is in this second tier that’s going to emerge, I think, and, and be a viable candidate come January, February."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were:
(Democrats and Democratic leaners)

 

Oct. 24

Oct. 10

Sept. 12

Hillary Rodham Clinton

42%

50%

43%

Barack Obama

25%

18%

24%

John Edwards

13%

11%

13%

Joe Biden

2%

1%

2%

Bill Richardson

2%

4%

1%

Dennis Kucinich

1%

2%

2%

Chris Dodd

1%

1%

--

Mike Gravel

--

--

--

Other

1%

1%

--

Not sure

12%

12%

11%

Would not vote

1%

2%

2%

Source: Opinion Dynamics / Fox News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 900 registered American voters, conducted on Oct. 23 and Oct. 24, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.