Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Giuliani Surpasses Three Democrats in Florida

October 28, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican Rudy Giuliani is the most popular United States presidential hopeful in Florida, according to a poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. At least 44 per cent of respondents in the Sunshine State would vote for the former New York City mayor in head-to-head contests against three prospective Democratic candidates.

Giuliani holds a three-point lead over New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, a seven-point advantage over Illinois senator Barack Obama, and a three-point edge over former North Carolina senator John Edwards.

In other match-ups, Arizona senator John McCain is tied with Obama, almost even with Rodham Clinton, and trails Edwards by two points. The three Democrats hold the upper hand in contests against actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson, and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.

In 2004, Republican George W. Bush carried Florida’s 27 electoral votes, with 52 per cent of all cast ballots. In 2000, weeks of recounts and court injunctions concluded in a 537-vote victory for Bush over Democrat Al Gore. Since 1972, the only Democrats to win the Sunshine State in a presidential election are Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Bill Clinton in 1996.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next United States presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 election for president were being held today, and the candidates were (the Democrat) and (the Republican), for whom would you vote?

Rudy Giuliani (R) 46% - 43% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 47% - 40% Barack Obama (D)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 44% - 41% John Edwards (D)

John McCain (R) 43% - 44% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
John McCain (R) 42% - 42% Barack Obama (D)
John McCain (R) 40% - 42% John Edwards (D)

Fred Thompson (R) 41% - 46% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 39% - 43% Barack Obama (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 36% - 47% John Edwards (D)

Mitt Romney (R) 39% - 47% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Mitt Romney (R) 37% - 44% Barack Obama (D)
Mitt Romney (R) 34% - 48% John Edwards (D)

Source: Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 1,025 registered Florida voters, conducted from Oct. 17 to Oct. 22, 2007. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

 

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