(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton could carry the Garden State in the 2008 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. At least 51 per cent of respondents in New Jersey would vote for the New York senator in head-to-head 2008 contests against four prospective Republican rivals.

Rodham Clinton holds an 11-point lead over former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, an 18-point advantage over actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson, a 16-point lead over Arizona senator John McCain, and a 24-point advantage over former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.

In 2004, Democratic nominee John Kerry carried New Jersey’s 15 electoral votes, with 53 per cent of the vote. No Republican has won the Garden State since George H. Bush in 1988.

Incumbent George W. Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next United States presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Original Release from Rasmussen Reports

Polling Data

New Jersey - 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

Rudy Giuliani (R) 40% - 51% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 35% - 53% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
John McCain (R) 36% - 52% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Mitt Romney (R) 31% - 55% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in New Jersey, conducted on Oct. 10, 2007. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.

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