Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Pennsylvania Voters Pick Hillary in 2008

October 15, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Many adults in the Keystone State would support Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton in the 2008 United States presidential election, according to a poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. At least 48 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in head-to-head contests against four prospective Republican rivals.

Rodham Clinton holds a six-point edge over former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, a seven-point lead over Arizona senator John McCain, an 11-point advantage over actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson, and a 12-point lead over former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.

In other contests, Illinois senator Barack Obama trails Giuliani by two points, but leads McCain, Thompson and Romney. Former North Carolina senator John Edwards is almost tied with Giuliani, but ahead of the three other GOP contenders.

In 2004, Democratic nominee John Kerry carried Pennsylvania’s 21 electoral votes, with 51 per cent of the vote. No Republican has won the Keystone State since George H. Bush in 1988.

U.S. president George W. Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next United States presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 election for president were being held today, and the candidates were (the Democrat) and (the Republican), for whom would you vote?

Rudy Giuliani (R) 42% - 48% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
John McCain (R) 41% - 48% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 39% - 50% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Mitt Romney (R) 37% - 49% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

Rudy Giuliani (R) 45% - 43% Barack Obama (D)
John McCain (R) 41% - 45% Barack Obama (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 37% - 45% Barack Obama (D)
Mitt Romney (R) 33% - 49% Barack Obama (D)

Rudy Giuliani (R) 44% - 43% John Edwards (D)
John McCain (R) 39% - 47% John Edwards (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 34% - 47% John Edwards (D)
Mitt Romney (R) 32% - 49% John Edwards (D)

Source: Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 878 registered Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 1 to Oct. 8, 2007. Margin of error is 3.3 per cent.

 

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