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Democrats 2008: Hillary 50%, Obama 18%

October 12, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Half of Democratic Party supporters in the United States would like Hillary Rodham Clinton to become their presidential nominee next year, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 18 per cent—down six points in a month—followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 11 per cent. Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, Delaware senator Joe Biden, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

On Oct. 10, Rodham Clinton introduced a proposal to establish a new retirement plan which seeks to boost individual savings with federal tax credits, saying, "I believe that if you work hard and contribute to our country, you should have the opportunity to save and invest."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were:
(Democrats and Democratic leaners)

 

Oct. 10

Sept. 12

Aug. 22

Hillary Rodham Clinton

50%

43%

35%

Barack Obama

18%

24%

23%

John Edwards

11%

13%

6%

Bill Richardson

4%

1%

3%

Dennis Kucinich

2%

2%

3%

Joe Biden

1%

2%

2%

Chris Dodd

1%

--

1%

Mike Gravel

--

--

--

Al Gore

n.a.

n.a.

10%

Other

1%

--

1%

Not sure

12%

11%

13%

Source: Opinion Dynamics / Fox News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 900 registered American voters, conducted on Oct. 9 and Oct. 10, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.