Polls & Research

Democrats Could Win Iowa in 2008 U.S. Election

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Half of voters in the Hawkeye State would support Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton in the 2008 United States presidential election, according to a poll by SurveyUSA released by KAAL-TV. 50 per cent of respondents in Iowa would back the New York senator, while 42 per cent would vote for former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani.

Rodham Clinton also holds a six-point edge over actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson, and a seven-point advantage over former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.

In other contests, both Illinois senator Barack Obama and former North Carolina senator John Edwards hold the upper hand against Giuliani, Thompson and Romney.

In 2004, Republican George W. Bush carried Iowa’s seven electoral votes, with 50 per cent of all cast ballots. No GOP nominee had carried the Hawkeye State since Ronald Reagan in 1984.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next United States presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

A few questions now about the next election. If there were an election for president of the United States today, and the only two names on the ballot were (the following) who would you vote for?

Rudy Giuliani (R) 42% - 50% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 44% - 50% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Mitt Romney (R) 43% - 50% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

Rudy Giuliani (R) 42% - 50% Barack Obama (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 41% - 51% Barack Obama (D)
Mitt Romney (R) 41% - 51% Barack Obama (D)

Rudy Giuliani (R) 39% - 53% John Edwards (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 37% - 54% John Edwards (D)
Mitt Romney (R) 38% - 54% John Edwards (D)

Source: SurveyUSA / KAAL-TV
Methodology: Telephone interviews with at least 499 registered Iowa voters, conducted from Sept. 14 to Sept. 16, 2007. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.