Polls & Research
Archive Search
Rodham Clinton Gains 10 Points in New Hampshire
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton is the most popular United States presidential hopeful for Democratic Party supporters in the Granite State, according to a poll by Zogby International. 38 per cent of likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire would back the New York senator in 2008, up 10 points since May.
Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 23 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 12 per cent, and New Mexico governor Bill Richardson with eight per cent. Support is lower for Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, Delaware senator Joe Biden, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.
In the sample of Republican Party supporters, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney is first with 24 per cent, followed by former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani with 21 per cent, and Arizona senator John McCain with 16 per cent. Support is lower for actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, Texas congressman Ron Paul, Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, and California congressman Duncan Hunter.
New Hampshire traditionally hosts the first presidential primary in the United States. Since 1952, 11 Republicans and eight Democrats have won the Granite State contest and later earned their party’s presidential nomination. New Hampshire allows independent voters to take part in primaries.
In 2004, Massachusetts senator John Kerry won the Democratic New Hampshire primary with 38.4 per cent, followed by former Vermont governor Howard Dean with 26.3 per cent, retired general Wesley Clark with 12.4 per cent, and Edwards with 12.1 per cent. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the Republican primary without serious opposition.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Voting intention - 2008 New Hampshire Democratic primary
|
Sept. 2007 |
May 2007 |
Apr. 2007 |
|
|
Hillary Rodham Clinton |
38% |
28% |
29% |
|
Barack Obama |
23% |
26% |
23% |
|
John Edwards |
12% |
15% |
23% |
|
Bill Richardson |
8% |
10% |
2% |
|
Dennis Kucinich |
3% |
4% |
1% |
|
Joe Biden |
2% |
1% |
2% |
|
Chris Dodd |
2% |
-- |
-- |
|
Undecided |
10% |
15% |
17% |
Voting intention - 2008 New Hampshire Republican primary
|
Sept. 2007 |
May 2007 |
Apr. 2007 |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
24% |
35% |
25% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
21% |
19% |
19% |
|
John McCain |
16% |
19% |
25% |
|
Fred Thompson |
7% |
6% |
6% |
|
Mike Huckabee |
5% |
-- |
1% |
|
Ron Paul |
3% |
3% |
-- |
|
Tom Tancredo |
3% |
1% |
1% |
|
Sam Brownback |
1% |
1% |
-- |
|
Duncan Hunter |
1% |
-- |
1% |
|
Chuck Hagel |
-- |
1% |
1% |
|
Tommy Thompson |
n.a. |
1% |
-- |
|
Undecided |
17% |
11% |
17% |
Source: Zogby International
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 502 likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire, and 505 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, conducted from Sept. 26 to Sept. 28, 2007. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.