Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Hillary is Clear Leader in New Hampshire

October 05, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton is the top United States presidential hopeful for Democratic Party supporters in New Hampshire, according to a poll by American Research Group. 41 per cent of likely Democratic primary voters in the Granite State would back the New York senator in 2008.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 22 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 10 per cent, and New Mexico governor Bill Richardson with eight per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, Connecticut senator Chris Dodd, and Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich.

In the sample of Republican Party supporters, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney is first with 24 per cent, followed by former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani and Arizona senator John McCain with 20 per cent each. Support is lower for actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson, former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich, Texas congressman Ron Paul, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, California congressman Duncan Hunter, Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, and former diplomat Alan Keyes.

New Hampshire traditionally hosts the first presidential primary in the United States. Since 1952, 11 Republicans and eight Democrats have won the Granite State contest and later earned their party’s presidential nomination. New Hampshire allows independent voters to take part in primaries.

In 2004, Massachusetts senator John Kerry won the Democratic New Hampshire primary with 38.4 per cent, followed by former Vermont governor Howard Dean with 26.3 per cent, retired general Wesley Clark with 12.4 per cent, and Edwards with 12.1 per cent. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the Republican primary without serious opposition.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Democratic presidential preference primary were being held today, for whom would you vote?

 

Sept. 2007

Aug. 2007

Jul. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

41%

37%

31%

Barack Obama

22%

17%

31%

John Edwards

10%

14%

14%

Bill Richardson

8%

7%

7%

Joe Biden

3%

4%

2%

Chris Dodd

2%

2%

1%

Dennis Kucinich

2%

2%

1%

Mike Gravel

--

1%

--

Undecided

12%

16%

13%

If the 2008 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today, for whom would you vote?

 

Sept. 2007

Aug. 2007

Jul. 2007

Mitt Romney

24%

27%

26%

Rudy Giuliani

20%

23%

27%

John McCain

20%

12%

10%

Fred Thompson

8%

8%

13%

Newt Gingrich

6%

4%

6%

Ron Paul

3%

3%

1%

Mike Huckabee

3%

9%

1%

Sam Brownback

1%

1%

1%

Duncan Hunter

1%

--

1%

Tom Tancredo

1%

--

1%

Alan Keyes

1%

--

--

Undecided

12%

13%

13%

Source: American Research Group
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 600 likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire, and 600 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, conducted from Sept. 26 to Sept. 29, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

 

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