Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Giuliani, Rodham Clinton Lead in California

September 25, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani is the most popular presidential contender for Republican Party supporters in the Golden State, according to a poll by the Public Policy Institute of California. 22 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in next year’s primary.

Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney and actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson are tied for second with 16 per cent, followed by Arizona senator John McCain with 15 per cent. Support is lower for California congressman Duncan Hunter, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, and Texas congressman Ron Paul.

In the sample of Democratic Party supporters, New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is first with 41 per cent, followed by Illinois senator Barack Obama with 23 per cent, and former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 14 per cent. Support is lower for Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, and Delaware senator Joe Biden.

The Republican and Democratic presidential primaries in California will take place on Feb. 5, 2008. In 2004, Massachusetts senator John Kerry won the Democratic California primary with 64 per cent of the vote. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the Republican contest unopposed.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and these were the candidates, who would you vote for?

Rudy Giuliani

22%

Mitt Romney

16%

Fred Thompson

16%

John McCain

15%

Duncan Hunter

3%

Mike Huckabee

2%

Tom Tancredo

2%

Ron Paul

1%

Someone else

3%

Don’t know

20%

If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and these were the candidates, who would you vote for?

Hillary Rodham Clinton

41%

Barack Obama

23%

John Edwards

14%

Dennis Kucinich

3%

Bill Richardson

3%

Joe Biden

2%

Someone else

1%

Don’t know

13%

Source: Public Policy Institute of California
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 353 likely Republican California primary voters and 455 likely Democratic California primary voters, conducted from Sept. 4 to Sept. 11, 2006. Margin of error is 5 per cent.

 

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