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Romney Leads, Obama Drops in New Hampshire
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Mitt Romney is the top United States presidential contender for Republican Party supporters in New Hampshire, according to a poll by American Research Group. 27 per cent of likely GOP voters in the Granite State would back the former Massachusetts governor in next year's primary.
Former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani is second with 23 per cent, followed by Arizona senator John McCain with 12 per cent, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee with nine per cent, and actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson with eight per cent. Support is lower for former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich, Texas congressman Ron Paul, and Kansas senator Sam Brownback.
In the sample of Democratic Party supporters, New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is first with 37 per cent, followed by Illinois senator Barack Obama with 17 per cent—down 14 points in a month—and former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 14 per cent. Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Delaware senator Joe Biden, Connecticut senator Chris Dodd, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich and former Alaska senator Mike Gravel.
New Hampshire traditionally hosts the first presidential primary in the United States. Since 1952, 11 Republicans and eight Democrats have won the Granite State contest and later earned their party's presidential nomination. New Hampshire allows independent voters to take part in primaries.
In 2004, Massachusetts senator John Kerry won the Democratic New Hampshire primary with 38.4 per cent, followed by former Vermont governor Howard Dean with 26.3 per cent, retired general Wesley Clark with 12.4 per cent, and Edwards with 12.1 per cent. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the Republican primary without serious opposition.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
If the 2008 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today, for whom would you vote?
Aug. 2007 | Jul. 2007 | Jun. 2007 | |
Mitt Romney | 27% | 26% | 27% |
Rudy Giuliani | 23% | 27% | 19% |
John McCain | 12% | 10% | 21% |
Mike Huckabee | 9% | 1% | 1% |
Fred Thompson | 8% | 13% | 10% |
Newt Gingrich | 4% | 6% | 4% |
Ron Paul | 3% | 1% | 1% |
Sam Brownback | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Duncan Hunter | -- | 1% | 1% |
Tom Tancredo | -- | 1% | 1% |
Undecided | 13% | 13% | 14% |
If the 2008 Democratic presidential preference primary were being held today, for whom would you vote?
Aug. 2007 | Jul. 2007 | Jun. 2007 | |
Hillary Rodham Clinton | 37% | 31% | 34% |
Barack Obama | 17% | 31% | 25% |
John Edwards | 14% | 14% | 11% |
Bill Richardson | 7% | 7% | 6% |
Joe Biden | 4% | 2% | 4% |
Chris Dodd | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Dennis Kucinich | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Mike Gravel | 1% | -- | 2% |
Wesley Clark | n.a. | -- | 1% |
Undecided | 16% | 13% | 11% |
Source: American Research Group
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 600 likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire, and 600 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, conducted from Aug. 26 to Aug. 29, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.