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Romney Gains, Hillary Steady in New Hampshire

August 16, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - More Republican Party supporters in the Granite State would vote for Mitt Romney in next year's United States presidential primary, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 32 per cent of likely GOP voters in New Hampshire would back the former Massachusetts governor, up six points since June.

Former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani is second with 20 per cent, followed by actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson with 11 per cent, Arizona senator John McCain also with 11 per cent, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee with three per cent.

In the sample of Democratic Party supporters, New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is first with 27 per cent, followed by Illinois senator Barack Obama with 22 per cent, former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 14 per cent, and New Mexico governor Bill Richardson with nine per cent. Support is lower for Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich and Delaware senator Joe Biden.

New Hampshire traditionally hosts the first presidential primary in the United States. Since 1952, 11 Republicans and eight Democrats have won the Granite State contest and later earned their party's presidential nomination. New Hampshire allows independent voters to take part in primaries.

In 2004, Massachusetts senator John Kerry won the Democratic New Hampshire primary with 38.4 per cent, followed by former Vermont governor Howard Dean with 26.3 per cent, retired general Wesley Clark with 12.4 per cent, and Edwards with 12.1 per cent. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the Republican primary without serious opposition.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Original Releases from Rasmussen Reports: Republican Primary and Democratic Primary

Polling Data

Election 2008: New Hampshire Republican Primary

Aug. 2007

Jun. 2007

Mitt Romney

32%

26%

Rudy Giuliani

20%

17%

Fred Thompson

11%

17%

John McCain

11%

15%

Mike Huckabee

3%

3%

Election 2008: New Hampshire Democratic Primary

Aug. 2007

Jun. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

37%

38%

Barack Obama

22%

21%

John Edwards

14%

10%

Bill Richardson

9%

9%

Dennis Kucinich

4%

2%

Joe Biden

2%

3%

Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 434 likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire, and 453 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, conducted on Aug. 9, 2007. Margin of error is 4.7 per cent.