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Democrats 2008: Hillary 44%, Obama 23%

August 06, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the frontrunner in the national race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Princeton Survey Research Associates released by Newsweek. 44 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 23 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 14 per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, former Alaska senator Mike Gravel, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

Last month, Gravel discussed his chances, saying, "Any political science professor will tell you that the corruption of money is a huge problem. Talking about how much money (some candidates have) raised—said another way it's talking about how corrupt they are."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Which one of the following would you most like to see nominated as the next Democratic candidate for president?

Aug. 2007

Jun. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

44%

43%

Barack Obama

23%

27%

John Edwards

14%

14%

Joe Biden

3%

1%

Dennis Kucinich

2%

3%

Bill Richardson

1%

2%

Mike Gravel

1%

n.a.

Chris Dodd

1%

1%

Michael Bloomberg

n.a.

1%

Other

2%

1%

No preference

4%

--

Unsure

7%

7%

Source: Princeton Survey Research Associates / Newsweek
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 422 Democrats and Democratic leaners, conducted on Aug. 1, 2007. Margin of error is 7 per cent.