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Democrats 2008: Hillary 43%, Obama 22%

August 04, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - More Democratic Party supporters in the United States would like Hillary Rodham Clinton to become their presidential nominee in 2008, according to a poll by Hart/Newhouse released by the Wall Street Journal and NBC News. 43 per cent of respondents would back the New York senator in a primary, up four points since June.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 22 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 13 per cent. Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Delaware senator Joe Biden, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

On Aug. 1, Dodd and Republican Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel presented a plan to upgrade existing infrastructure in the U.S. Dodd explained his rationale, saying, "This measure can help rebuild our roads, bridges, transit and water systems, improve our quality of life, and spur jobs and economic growth. By investing today, we can minimize costs down the road."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Let me mention some people who said the will seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008. If the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, for which one of the following candidates would you vote?

Jul. 2007

Jun. 2007

Apr. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

43%

39%

36%

Barack Obama

22%

25%

31%

John Edwards

13%

15%

20%

Bill Richardson

6%

4%

2%

Joe Biden

5%

4%

3%

Dennis Kucinich

2%

3%

1%

Chris Dodd

1%

1%

--

Other

1%

2%

1%

None

2%

2%

1%

Not sure

5%

5%

5%

Source: Hart/Newhouse / The Wall Street Journal / NBC News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with Democratic Party supporters among 1,005 American adults, conducted from Jul. 27 to Jul. 30, 2007. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.