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Democrats 2008: Hillary 37%, Obama 21%

July 11, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - More Democratic Party supporters in the United States want Hillary Rodham Clinton as their presidential nominee, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 37 per cent of respondents would back the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 21 per cent, followed by former U.S. vice-president Al Gore with 16 per cent, and former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 13 per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, and former Alaska senator Mike Gravel.

Yesterday, Obama criticized both Rodham Clinton and Edwards—who voted to authorize the coalition effort in Iraq in 2002—declaring, "Being a leader means that you'd better do what's right and leave the politics aside because there are no do-overs on an issue as important as war."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else.

Jul. 8

Jun. 14

Jun. 3

Hillary Rodham Clinton

37%

33%

29%

Barack Obama

21%

21%

30%

Al Gore

16%

18%

17%

John Edwards

13%

11%

11%

Joe Biden

3%

3%

3%

Bill Richardson

2%

5%

3%

Dennis Kucinich

2%

1%

--

Mike Gravel

1%

1%

--

Chris Dodd

--

--

--

Other

--

1%

1%

None

--

--

2%

No opinion

5%

7%

2%

Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 516 Democrats or Democratic leaners, conducted from Jul. 6 to Jul. 8, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.