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Republicans 2008: Giuliani 34%, F. Thompson 22%

July 03, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani is the top contender in a four-person race for the Republican Party's presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by CBS News. 34 per cent of respondents would like to see the former New York City mayor as their candidate, down two points in a month.

Actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson is second with 22 per cent, followed by Arizona senator John McCain with 21 per cent, and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with six per cent.

Yesterday, Giuliani discussed security issues, saying, "It's my first commitment of the 12 that I've made to the American people. We have to be on offence in the terrorist war against us. What that means is we have to anticipate. (...) We've got to be on offence in the Islamic terrorist war against us."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Suppose the race for the Republican Party's presidential nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice among John McCain, Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, and Fred Thompson. Who would you most like to see nominated— McCain, Giuliani, Romney, Thompson, or would you rather see someone else nominated?
(Republican primary voters only)

Jun. 2007

May 2007

Apr. 2007

Rudy Giuliani

34%

36%

47%

Fred Thompson

22%

n.a.

n.a.

John McCain

21%

22%

25%

Mitt Romney

6%

15%

10%

Other / None

7%

21%

13%

Undecided

5%

3%

3%

Not sure

5%

3%

2%

Source: CBS News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 836 American adults, conducted from Jun. 26 to Jun. 28, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.