Polls & Research

Hillary Could Defeat Giuliani in Florida

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton has become the most popular United States presidential hopeful in the Sunshine State, according to a poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. At least 44 per cent of respondents would support the New York senator in head-to-head contests against three prospective Republican nominees.

Rodham Clinton holds a six-point lead over former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, a five-point advantage over actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson, and is barely ahead of Arizona senator John McCain.

In other match-ups, Illinois senator Barack Obama is tied with McCain, trails Giuliani by eight points, and leads Thompson by two points. Former U.S. vice-president Al Gore leads Thompson, but trails McCain by one point and Giuliani by nine points.

In 2004, Republican George W. Bush carried Florida's 27 electoral votes, with 52 per cent of all cast ballots. In 2000, weeks of recounts and court injunctions concluded in a 537-vote victory for Bush over Democrat Al Gore. Since 1972, the only Democrats to win the Sunshine State in a presidential election are Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Bill Clinton in 1996.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next United States presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were (the Democrat) and (the Republican), for whom would you vote?

Rudy Giuliani (R) 42% - 48% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
John McCain (R) 43% - 44% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 41% - 46% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

Rudy Giuliani (R) 47% - 39% Barack Obama (D)
John McCain (R) 42% - 42% Barack Obama (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 41% - 43% Barack Obama (D)

Rudy Giuliani (R) 49% - 40% Al Gore (D)
John McCain (R) 44% - 43% Al Gore (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 42% - 45% Al Gore (D)