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Democrats Ahead of 2008 GOP Contenders in U.S.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton leads four prospective Republican presidential nominees in the United States, according to a poll by Princeton Survey Research Associates released by Newsweek. 51 per cent of respondents would back the New York senator in 2008, while 44 per cent would vote for Republican former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani.
Rodham Clinton also holds a five-point advantage over Arizona senator John McCain, a 15-point lead over former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, and an 11-point edge over actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson.
In other contests, Illinois senator Barack Obama leads Giuliani by five points, McCain by 10 points, Romney by 16 points, and Thompson by 14 points. Former North Carolina senator John Edwards also holds the upper hand when paired against the four GOP contenders.
On Jun. 22, Obama promised to change the way the federal government operates, declaring, "It's time to renew a people's politics in this county, to ensure that the hopes and concerns of average Americans speak louder in Washington than the hallway whispers of high-priced lobbyists. (...) When I am president, I will make it absolutely clear that working in an Obama administration is not about serving your former employer, your future employer or your bank account. It's about serving your country and that's what comes first."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Now I'm going to describe some different choices of candidates voters might have in the 2008 election for president. As I read each one, please tell me how you would vote if the election for president were being held today. (Leaners included)
Giuliani v. Rodham Clinton
Jun. 2007 | May 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) | 51% | 49% | 46% |
Rudy Giuliani (R) | 44% | 46% | 47% |
McCain v. Rodham Clinton
Jun. 2007 | May 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) | 50% | 50% | 47% |
John McCain (R) | 45% | 44% | 46% |
Romney v. Rodham Clinton
Jun. 2007 | May 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) | 55% | 57% | 53% |
Mitt Romney (R) | 40% | 35% | 38% |
F. Thompson v. Rodham Clinton
Jun. 2007 | |
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) | 53% |
Fred Thompson (R) | 42% |
Giuliani v. Obama
Jun. 2007 | May 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
Barack Obama (D) | 49% | 50% | 43% |
Rudy Giuliani (R) | 44% | 43% | 48% |
McCain v. Obama
Jun. 2007 | May 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
Barack Obama (D) | 51% | 52% | 45% |
John McCain (R) | 41% | 39% | 43% |
Romney v. Obama
Jun. 2007 | May 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
Barack Obama (D) | 53% | 58% | 54% |
Mitt Romney (R) | 37% | 29% | 34% |
F. Thompson v. Obama
Jun. 2007 | |
Barack Obama (D) | 53% |
Fred Thompson (R) | 39% |
Giuliani v. Edwards
Jun. 2007 | May 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
John Edwards (D) | 48% | 50% | 45% |
Rudy Giuliani (R) | 46% | 44% | 47% |
McCain v. Edwards
Jun. 2007 | May 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
John Edwards (D) | 50% | 52% | 48% |
John McCain (R) | 44% | 42% | 43% |
Romney v. Edwards
Jun. 2007 | May 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
John Edwards (D) | 57% | 64% | 58% |
Mitt Romney (R) | 36% | 27% | 30% |
F. Thompson v. Edwards
Jun. 2007 | |
John Edwards (D) | 54% |
Fred Thompson (R) | 38% |
Source: Princeton Survey Research Associates / Newsweek
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 831 registered American voters, conducted on Jun. 20 and Jun. 21, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.