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Romney is Clear Leader in New Hampshire
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Mitt Romney is the top presidential hopeful for Republican Party supporters in the Granite State, according to a poll by Zogby International. 35 per cent of likely GOP primary voters in New Hampshire would back the former Massachusetts governor in the 2008 United States primary.
Former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani and Arizona senator John McCain are tied for second with 19 per cent, followed by actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson with six per cent, and Texas congressman Ron Paul with three per cent. Support is lower for Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel, Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, and former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson.
In the sample of Democratic Party supporters, New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is first with 28 per cent, followed by Illinois senator Barack Obama with 26 per cent, former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 15 per cent, and New Mexico governor Bill Richardson with 10 per cent. Support is lower for Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich and Delaware senator Joe Biden.
New Hampshire traditionally hosts the first presidential primary in the United States. Since 1952, 11 Republicans and eight Democrats have won the Granite State contest and later earned their party's presidential nomination. New Hampshire allows independent voters to take part in primaries.
In 2004, Massachusetts senator John Kerry won the Democratic New Hampshire primary with 38.4 per cent, followed by former Vermont governor Howard Dean with 26.3 per cent, retired general Wesley Clark with 12.4 per cent, and Edwards with 12.1 per cent. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the Republican primary without serious opposition.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Voting intention - 2008 New Hampshire Republican primary
May 2007 | Apr. 2007 | Jan. 2007 | |
Mitt Romney | 35% | 25% | 13% |
John McCain | 19% | 25% | 26% |
Rudy Giuliani | 19% | 19% | 20% |
Fred Thompson | 6% | 6% | -- |
Ron Paul | 3% | -- | -- |
Chuck Hagel | 1% | 1% | 3% |
Tom Tancredo | 1% | 1% | 2% |
Sam Brownback | 1% | -- | -- |
Tommy Thompson | 1% | -- | -- |
Mike Huckabee | -- | 1% | -- |
Duncan Hunter | -- | 1% | 1% |
Newt Gingrich | -- | -- | 6% |
George Pataki | -- | -- | 1% |
Condoleezza Rice | n.a. | n.a. | 7% |
Undecided | 11% | 17% | 15% |
Voting intention - 2008 New Hampshire Democratic primary
May 2007 | Apr. 2007 | Jan. 2007 | |
Hillary Rodham Clinton | 28% | 29% | 19% |
Barack Obama | 26% | 23% | 23% |
John Edwards | 15% | 23% | 19% |
Bill Richardson | 10% | 2% | 1% |
Dennis Kucinich | 4% | 1% | 1% |
Joe Biden | 1% | 2% | 3% |
Wesley Clark | -- | -- | 3% |
Undecided | 15% | 17% | 22% |
Tom Vilsack | n.a. | n.a. | 1% |
John Kerry | n.a. | n.a. | 5% |
Source: Zogby International
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 500 likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire, and 503 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, conducted on May 15 and May 16, 2007. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.