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Republicans 2008: Giuliani 38%, Tie for Second

May 18, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani remains the most popular presidential hopeful for Republican Party supporters in the United States, according to a poll by Harris Interactive. 38 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary.

Arizona senator John McCain and actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson are tied for second with 18 per cent, followed by former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with nine per cent, and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with eight per cent.

Support is lower for former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson, Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, Texas congressman Ron Paul, California congressman Duncan Hunter, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, former Virginia governor Jim Gilmore, and Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel.

On May 16, Gingrich discussed his plans, saying, "We will provide new proposals and new solutions for education, energy, health care, national security, homeland security and making English the official language of the United States. I will look around Sept. 30 (to review) if there is a big enough vacuum."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

There are many different people who are, or who may become, candidates for president in the Republican primaries starting in January 2008. Based all that you know or have heard up to now about the people listed below, for which one person would you be most likely to vote? (Those who would vote in Republican primary or caucus)

May 2007

Apr. 2007

Rudy Giuliani

38%

39%

John McCain

18%

18%

Fred Thompson

18%

13%

Newt Gingrich

9%

9%

Mitt Romney

8%

14%

Tommy Thompson

2%

1%

Tom Tancredo

2%

1%

Sam Brownback

1%

2%

Ron Paul

1%

1%

Duncan Hunter

1%

1%

Mike Huckabee

1%

1%

Jim Gilmore

1%

--

Chuck Hagel

1%

--

Source: Harris Interactive
Methodology: Online interviews with 2,532 American adults, conducted from May 3 to May 10, 2007. Margin of error is 2 per cent.