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Democrats 2008: Hillary 39%, Obama 22%

May 17, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - More Democratic Party supporters in the United States would like Hillary Rodham Clinton to become their presidential nominee in 2008, according to a poll by American Research Group. 39 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 22 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 19 per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Connecticut senator Chris Dodd, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, and retired general Wesley Clark.

Yesterday, Edwards voiced support for the conclusion of the coalition effort, saying, "It is time to end this war. The only real power Congress has to end the war is their funding power, which is why I and others have been calling on them to use it for some time."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Democratic Presidential Preference

May 2007

Apr. 2007

Mar. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

39%

36%

34%

Barack Obama

22%

24%

31%

John Edwards

19%

19%

15%

Joe Biden

3%

2%

1%

Bill Richardson

2%

2%

2%

Chris Dodd

2%

1%

1%

Dennis Kucinich

1%

1%

1%

Wesley Clark

1%

1%

1%

Undecided

11%

14%

14%

Source: American Research Group
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 600 likely Democratic primary voters, conducted from May 9 to May 12, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.