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France 2007: Sarkozy Ahead of Royal
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Nicolas Sarkozy remains the top contender in France's presidential race, according to a poll by Ifop released by Fiducial. 28 per cent of respondents would support the Union for a Popular Movement (UMP) candidate in tomorrow's election.
Socialist Party (PS) candidate Ségolène Royal is second with 22.5 per cent, followed by Union for French Democracy (UDF) leader François Bayrou with 20 per cent, followed by Jean-Marie Le Pen of the National Front (FN) with 13 per cent.
Support is lower for Revolutionary Communist League (LCR) member Olivier Besancenot, Marie-George Buffet of the French Communist Party (PCF), Movement for France (MPF) leader Philippe de Villiers, Arlette Laguiller of Workers' Struggle (LO), Frédéric Nihous of Hunting, Fishing, Nature, Traditions (CPNT), farmer-activist José Bové, Dominique Voynet of the Greens (Verts), and Gérard Schivardi of the Worker's Party (PT).
Sarkozy served as France's interior minister. Royal is the leader of the regional government of Poitou-Charentes. In a prospective run-off scenario, Sarkozy holds a two-point advantage over Royal.
Yesterday, Sarkozy discussed the campaign, saying, "My family has suffered a lot from certain provocations. I have chosen to protect them. It's deliberate and I take responsibility for it. Political life is extremely hard. The attacks against me are much heavier than against others."
The UMP's Jacques Chirac won the presidential ballot in 1995, and was re-elected in a run-off over Le Pen in May 2002. The next election is scheduled for Apr. 22. If no candidate garners more than 50 per cent of all cast ballots, a run-off would take place on May 6.
Polling Data
Who would you vote for in the presidential election?
Apr. 19 | Apr. 16 | Apr. 13 | |
Nicolas Sarkozy | 28% | 28% | 28.5% |
Ségolène Royal | 22.5% | 22.5% | 24% |
François Bayrou | 20% | 19% | 18% |
Jean-Marie Le Pen | 13% | 12.5% | 13% |
Olivier Besancenot | 4% | 4% | 4% |
Marie-George Buffet | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Philippe de Villiers | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2% |
Arlette Laguiller | 2% | 3% | 2% |
Frédéric Nihous | 1.5% | 2% | 2% |
José Bové | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
Dominique Voynet | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1% |
Gérard Schivardi | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Run-Off Scenario
Sarkozy v. Royal
Apr. 19 | Apr. 16 | Apr. 13 | |
Nicolas Sarkozy | 51% | 53% | 53% |
Ségolène Royal | 49% | 47% | 47% |
Source: Ifop / Fiducial
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 952 French registered voters, conducted from Apr. 17 to Apr. 19, 2007. No margin of error was provided.