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Iowa Likes Giuliani, Edwards in 2008
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani is still the most popular 2008 United States presidential hopeful for Republican Party supporters in Iowa, according to a poll by Strategic Vision. 25 per cent of likely GOP caucus voters in the Hawkeye State would vote for the former New York City mayor.
Arizona senator John McCain is second with 20 per cent, followed by actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson with 11 per cent, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with eight per cent, and former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with six per cent. Support is lower for former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel, Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, former Virginia governor Jim Gilmore, Texas congressman Ron Paul, and California congressman Duncan Hunter.
In the sample of Democratic Party supporters, former North Carolina senator John Edwards is first with 27 per cent, followed by Illinois senator Barack Obama with 20 per cent, and New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton with 19 per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, retired general Wesley Clark, Connecticut senator Chris Dodd, and Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich.
Since 1976, the Iowa caucus has kicked off the process of finding presidential nominees for the two major political parties in the United States. The caucus differs from a presidential primary because the casting of ballots in favour of a particular candidate is preceded by a "gathering of neighbours" where specific platform issues are discussed.
The Republican Party will hold an unofficial straw poll of candidates in Iowa in August 2007, before the actual caucus in 2008.
In 2004, Massachusetts senator John Kerry won the Democratic Iowa caucus with 38 per cent, followed by Edwards with 32 per cent, former Vermont governor Howard Dean with 18 per cent, Missouri congressman Dick Gephardt with 11 per cent, and Kucinich with one per cent. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the Republican caucus unopposed.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
If the 2008 Republican presidential caucus were held today between Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Chuck Hagel, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson, and Tommy Thompson for whom would you vote?
(Republicans Only; Names Rotated)
Apr. 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
Rudy Giuliani | 25% | 29% |
John McCain | 20% | 22% |
Fred Thompson | 11% | n.a. |
Mitt Romney | 8% | 9% |
Newt Gingrich | 6% | 11% |
Tommy Thompson | 3% | 3% |
Sam Brownback | 3% | 2% |
Chuck Hagel | 2% | 5% |
Tom Tancredo | 2% | 2% |
Mike Huckabee | 2% | 2% |
Jim Gilmore | 1% | 1% |
Ron Paul | 1% | -- |
Duncan Hunter | 1% | 1% |
Undecided | 15% | 13% |
If the 2008 Democratic presidential caucus were held today between, Joe Biden, Wesley Clark, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote?
(Democrats Only; Names Rotated)
Apr. 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
John Edwards | 27% | 24% |
Barack Obama | 20% | 18% |
Hillary Rodham Clinton | 19% | 18% |
Joe Biden | 4% | 5% |
Bill Richardson | 4% | 3% |
Wesley Clark | 1% | 2% |
Chris Dodd | 1% | 1% |
Dennis Kucinich | 1% | 1% |
Undecided | 23% | 14% |
Source: Strategic Vision
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 600 likely Republican caucus voters in Iowa, and 600 likely Democratic caucus voters in Iowa, conducted from Mar. 30 to Apr. 1, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.