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Giuliani Leads Hillary, Obama Closer in U.S.

March 31, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican Rudy Giuliani holds the upper hand over a prospective Democratic presidential nominee in the United States, according to a poll by SRBI Public Affairs published in Time. 50 per cent of respondents would support the former New York City mayor in 2008, while 41 per cent would vote for New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton.

Giuliani is almost tied with Illinois senator Barack Obama. In other contests, Arizona senator John McCain holds a six-point lead over Rodham Clinton, and a two-point edge over Obama.

On Mar. 29, McCain dismissed claims that he almost left the Republican Party, saying, "I was approached by Democrats, sure. I was approached by John Kerry to run as his running mate in 2004 and I rejected it out of hand. It was the smartest thing I ever did."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the election for president were held today and the candidates were (the following), and you had to choose, for which of these candidates would you vote?

Giuliani v. Rodham Clinton

Mar. 26

Mar. 12

Feb. 2007

Rudy Giuliani (R)

50%

47%

47%

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

41%

43%

44%

Giuliani v. Obama

Mar. 26

Mar. 12

Feb. 2007

Rudy Giuliani (R)

45%

43%

47%

Barack Obama (D)

44%

44%

42%

McCain v. Rodham Clinton

Mar. 26

Mar. 12

Feb. 2007

John McCain (R)

48%

43%

45%

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

42%

44%

46%

McCain v. Obama

Mar. 26

Mar. 12

Feb. 2007

John McCain (R)

45%

41%

42%

Barack Obama (D)

43%

44%

46%

Source: Schulman, Ronca, & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs / Time
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,102 registered American voters, conducted from Mar. 23 to Mar. 26, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.