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McCain, Hillary First in New Hampshire
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - John McCain is the most popular presidential contender for Republican Party supporters in the Granite State, according to a poll by American Research Group. 23 per cent of likely GOP primary voters would back the Arizona senator in the 2008 United States primary.
Former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani is second with 19 per cent, followed by former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with 17 per cent, former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with 11 per cent, and actor Fred Thompson with 10 per cent. Support is lower for Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, and Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo.
In the sample of Democratic Party supporters, New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is first with 37 per cent, followed by Illinois senator Barack Obama with 23 per cent, and former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 20 per cent. Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Delaware senator Joe Biden, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, retired general Wesley Clark, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.
New Hampshire traditionally hosts the first presidential primary in the United States. Since 1952, 11 Republicans and eight Democrats have won the Granite State contest and later earned their party's presidential nomination. New Hampshire allows independent voters to take part in primaries.
In 2004, Massachusetts senator John Kerry won the Democratic New Hampshire primary with 38.4 per cent, followed by former Vermont governor Howard Dean with 26.3 per cent, Clark with 12.4 per cent, and Edwards with 12.1 per cent. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the Republican primary without serious opposition.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
If the 2008 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today, for whom would you vote?
Mar. 2007 | Feb. 2007 | Dec. 2006 | |
John McCain | 23% | 27% | 29% |
Rudy Giuliani | 19% | 20% | 25% |
Mitt Romney | 17% | 20% | 9% |
Newt Gingrich | 11% | 11% | 14% |
Fred Thompson | 10% | -- | -- |
Chuck Hagel | 2% | 4% | 2% |
Sam Brownback | 2% | 1% | -- |
Tom Tancredo | 1% | 1% | -- |
Mike Huckabee | -- | 1% | 1% |
George Pataki | -- | -- | 2% |
Jim Gilmore | -- | -- | 1% |
Undecided | 15% | 15% | 17% |
If the 2008 Democratic presidential caucus were being held today, for whom would you vote?
Mar. 2007 | Feb. 2007 | Dec. 2006 | |
Hillary Rodham Clinton | 37% | 39% | 27% |
Barack Obama | 23% | 19% | 21% |
John Edwards | 20% | 13% | 18% |
Bill Richardson | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Joe Biden | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Dennis Kucinich | 1% | 1% | 4% |
Wesley Clark | 1% | 2% | 2% |
Chris Dodd | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Tom Vilsack | n.a. | 1% | 1% |
John Kerry | n.a. | -- | 6% |
Undecided | 12% | 21% | 17% |
Source: American Research Group
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 600 likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire, and 600 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, conducted Mar. 19 to Mar. 22, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.