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Obama Gaining, Giuliani Leads Hillary in U.S.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama holds the upper hand over a prospective Republican presidential nominee in the United States, according to a poll by SRBI Public Affairs published in Time. 44 per cent of respondents would support the Illinois senator in 2008, while 41 per cent would vote for Arizona senator John McCain.
Obama is almost tied with former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani. New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton trails Giuliani by four points, and is almost even with McCain.
On Mar. 21, McCain discussed his views on foreign policy, saying, "Iraq has diverted attention from our hemisphere and we have paid a penalty for that. (If elected president), my first trip would be to Mexico, Canada and Latin America to reaffirm my commitment to our hemisphere and the importance of relations within our hemisphere."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
If the election for president were held today and the candidates were (the following), and you had to choose, for which of these candidates would you vote?
Giuliani v. Rodham Clinton
Mar. 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
Rudy Giuliani (R) | 47% | 47% |
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) | 43% | 44% |
Giuliani v. Obama
Mar. 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
Barack Obama (D) | 44% | 42% |
Rudy Giuliani (R) | 43% | 47% |
McCain v. Rodham Clinton
Mar. 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) | 44% | 46% |
John McCain (R) | 43% | 45% |
McCain v. Obama
Mar. 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
Barack Obama (D) | 44% | 46% |
John McCain (R) | 41% | 42% |
Source: Schulman, Ronca, & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs / Time
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,500 registered American voters, conducted from Mar. 9 to Mar. 12, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.