Polls & Research

Giuliani, Edwards Are Leaders in Iowa

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani is the most popular 2008 United States presidential hopeful for Republican Party supporters in Iowa, according to a poll by Strategic Vision. 29 per cent of likely GOP caucus voters in the Hawkeye State would vote for the former New York City mayor.

Arizona senator John McCain is second with 22 per cent, followed by former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with 11 per cent, and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with nine per cent. Support is lower for Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel, former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson, Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, former Virginia governor Jim Gilmore, and California congressman Duncan Hunter.

In the sample of Democratic Party supporters, former North Carolina senator John Edwards is first with 24 per cent, followed by New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton and Illinois senator Barack Obama with 18 per cent each, and former Iowa governor Tom Vilsack—who has since withdrawn from the race—with 14 per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, retired general Wesley Clark, Connecticut senator Chris Dodd, and Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich.

Since 1976, the Iowa caucus has kicked off the process of finding presidential nominees for the two major political parties in the United States. The caucus differs from a presidential primary because the casting of ballots in favour of a particular candidate is preceded by a "gathering of neighbours" where specific platform issues are discussed.

The Republican Party will hold an unofficial straw poll of candidates in Iowa in August 2007, before the actual caucus in 2008.

In 2004, Massachusetts senator John Kerry won the Democratic Iowa caucus with 38 per cent, followed by Edwards with 32 per cent, former Vermont governor Howard Dean with 18 per cent, Missouri congressman Dick Gephardt with 11 per cent, and Kucinich with one per cent. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the Republican caucus unopposed.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Republican presidential caucus were held today between, Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Chuck Hagel, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, George Pataki, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, and Tommy Thompson for whom would you vote?
(Republicans Only; Names Rotated)

If the 2008 Democratic presidential caucus were held today between, Joe Biden, Wesley Clark, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, John Kerry, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, and Tom Vilsack, for whom would you vote?
(Democrats Only; Names Rotated)