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Sarkozy Leads by Seven Points in France
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Public backing for Nicolas Sarkozy increased in France, according to a poll by CSA published in Le Parisien. 33 per cent of respondents would vote for the Union for a Popular Movement (UMP) candidate in this year's presidential election.
Ségolène Royal of the Socialist Party (PS) is second with 26 per cent, followed by Jean-Marie Le Pen of the National Front (FN) with 14 per cent, and Union for French Democracy (UDF) leader François Bayrou with 12 per cent.
Support is lower for Revolutionary Communist League (LCR) member Olivier Besancenot, farmer-activist José Bové, Movement for France (MPF) leader Philippe de Villiers, Marie-George Buffet of the French Communist Party (PCF), Dominique Voynet of the Greens (Verts), Arlette Laguiller of Workers' Struggle (LO), Frédéric Nihous of Hunting, Fishing, Nature, Traditions (CPNT), Corinne Lepage of Citizenship, Action, Participation for the 21st Century, and National Assembly member Nicolas Dupont-Aignan.
Sarkozy currently serves as France's interior minister. Royal is the leader of the regional government of Poitou-Charentes. In a prospective run-off scenario, Sarkozy holds an eight-point advantage over Royal.
On Feb. 16, Sarkozy expressed satisfaction with his campaign so far, declaring, "I'm starting to feel this election is going not too bad at all."
The UMP's Jacques Chirac won the presidential ballot in 1995, and was re-elected in a run-off over Le Pen in May 2002. The next election is scheduled for Apr. 22. If no candidate garners more than 50 per cent of all cast ballots, a run-off would take place on May 6.
Polling Data
Among the following candidates, for whom would there be the most chances than you vote with the first turn of the presidential election?
Feb. 12 | Jan. 31 | Jan. 17 | |
Nicolas Sarkozy | 33% | 31% | 30% |
Ségolène Royal | 26% | 27% | 29% |
Jean-Marie Le Pen | 14% | 16% | 15% |
François Bayrou | 12% | 12% | 9% |
Olivier Besancenot | 4% | 2% | 4% |
José Bové | 3% | 1% | -- |
Philippe de Villiers | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Marie-George Buffet | 2% | 3% | 3% |
Dominique Voynet | 1% | 2% | 2% |
Arlette Laguiller | 1% | 2% | 3% |
Frédéric Nihous | 1% | 1% | 0.5% |
Corinne Lepage | 0.5% | 1% | -- |
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1% |
Gérard Schivardi | -- | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Run-Off Scenario
Feb. 12 | Jan. 31 | Jan. 17 | |
Nicolas Sarkozy | 54% | 53% | 52% |
Ségolène Royal | 46% | 47% | 48% |
Source: CSA / Le Parisien
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 919 French adults, conducted on Feb. 12, 2007. No margin of error was provided.