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Giuliani is Best GOP Hope in Florida

February 12, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican Rudy Giuliani holds an early lead in the Sunshine State, according to a poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. 47 per cent of respondents in Florida would vote for the former New York City mayor in the 2008 United States presidential election, while 44 per cent would support Democratic New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton.

In other match-ups, Rodham Clinton leads Arizona senator John McCain by four points, and holds an 18-point advantage over former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney. McCain leads former North Carolina senator John Edwards by one point, and Illinois senator Barack Obama by two points.

In 2004, Republican George W. Bush carried Florida's 27 electoral votes, with 52 per cent of all cast ballots. In 2000, weeks of recounts and court injunctions concluded in a 537-vote victory for Bush over Democrat Al Gore. Since 1972, the only Democrats to win the Sunshine State in a presidential election are Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Bill Clinton in 1996.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next United States presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were (the Democrat) and (the Republican), for whom would you vote?

Rudy Giuliani (R) 47% - 44% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
John McCain (R) 43% - 47% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Mitt Romney (R) 34% - 52% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
John McCain (R) 43% - 42% John Edwards (D)
John McCain (R) 42% - 40% Barack Obama (D)

Source: Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 1,003 registered Florida voters, conducted from Jan. 29 to Feb. 4, 2007. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.