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GOP Race Close, Hillary Leads in New Hampshire
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - John McCain and Rudy Giuliani are the main presidential contenders for Republican Party backers in the Granite State, according to a poll by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. 27 per cent of likely GOP primary voters would support the Arizona senator in the 2008 United States primary, while 27 per cent would vote for the former New York City mayor.
Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney is third with 13 per cent, followed by former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with nine per cent. Support is lower for Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, Texas congressman Ron Paul, Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson, Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel, and former New York governor George Pataki.
In the sample of Democratic Party supporters, New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is first with 35 per cent, followed by Illinois senator Barack Obama with 21 per cent, and former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 16 per cent. Support is lower for former U.S. vice-president Al Gore, Delaware senator Joe Biden, Connecticut senator Chris Dodd, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, former Iowa governor Tom Vilsack, retired general Wesley Clark, and Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich.
New Hampshire traditionally hosts the first presidential primary in the United States. Since 1952, 11 Republicans and eight Democrats have won the Granite State contest and later earned their party's presidential nomination. New Hampshire allows independent voters to take part in primaries.
In 2004, Massachusetts senator John Kerry won the Democratic New Hampshire primary with 38.4 per cent, followed by former Vermont governor Howard Dean with 26.3 per cent, Clark with 12.4 per cent, and Edwards with 12.1 per cent. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the Republican primary without serious opposition.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Overall Preference for Republican Candidates
Likely Republican Primary Voters
John McCain | 28% |
Rudy Giuliani | 27% |
Mitt Romney | 13% |
Newt Gingrich | 9% |
Tom Tancredo | 3% |
Sam Brownback | 2% |
Ron Paul | 1% |
Mike Huckabee | 1% |
Tommy Thompson | 1% |
Chuck Hagel | 1% |
George Pataki | 1% |
Someone Else | 1% |
Don't Know | 13% |
Overall Preference for Democratic Candidates
Likely Democratic Primary Voters
Hillary Rodham Clinton | 35% |
Barack Obama | 21% |
John Edwards | 16% |
Al Gore | 8% |
Joe Biden | 3% |
Chris Dodd | 1% |
Bill Richardson | 1% |
Tom Vilsack | 1% |
Wesley Clark | 1% |
Dennis Kucinich | 1% |
Don't Know | 14% |
Source: University of New Hampshire Survey Center
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 310 likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire, and 352 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, conducted from Feb. 1 to Feb. 5, 2007. Margins of error are 5.4 and 5.2 per cent.