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Obama, Edwards Now Lead McCain in U.S.

January 27, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican John McCain trails two prospective Democratic presidential nominees in the United States, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 47 per cent of respondents would vote for Illinois senator Barack Obama in 2008, while 44 per cent would support the Arizona senator.

In a contest pitting McCain against former North Carolina senator John Edwards, the Democrat holds a three-point advantage. In December, McCain held leads over both Obama and Edwards in presidential trials.

Earlier this month, Edwards discussed the situation in Iran, declaring, "Let me be clear: Under no circumstances can Iran be allowed to have nuclear weapons. For years, the U.S. hasn't done enough to deal with what I have seen as a threat from Iran. As my country stayed on the sidelines, these problems got worse."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election

McCain v. Obama

Jan. 18

Dec. 15

Barack Obama (D)

47%

40%

John McCain (R)

44%

46%

McCain v. Edwards

Jan. 18

Dec. 15

John Edwards (D)

46%

41%

John McCain (R)

43%

46%

Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 800 likely American voters, conducted on Jan. 17 and Jan. 18, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.