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Giuliani, Hillary are 2008 Favourites in Nevada

January 08, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Supporters of the Republican Party in Nevada would like Rudy Giuliani to be their candidate in the 2008 United States presidential election, according to a poll by American Research Group. 31 per cent of respondents would support the former New York City mayor in the state's caucus.

Arizona senator John McCain is second with 25 per cent, followed by former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with 22 per cent, and Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with four per cent.

In the sample of Democratic Party supporters, New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is first with 37 per cent, followed by Illinois senator Barack Obama with 13 per cent, and former North Carolina senator John Edwards and Massachusetts senator John Kerry with nine per cent each. Support is lower for retired general Wesley Clark, Connecticut senator Chris Dodd, Iowa governor Tom Vilsack, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, Delaware senator Joseph Biden, former Alaska senator Mike Gravel, and New Mexico governor Bill Richardson.

The Democratic presidential caucus in Nevada is tentatively scheduled for Jan. 19, 2008, after the Iowa caucus and before the New Hampshire primary. The Republican contest in the Silver State will take place in late April.

In 2004, Kerry won the Democratic Nevada caucus with 63 per cent of the local delegates, followed by former Vermont governor Howard Dean with 17 per cent, Edwards with 10 per cent, Kucinich with seven per cent, and reverend Al Sharpton with one per cent.

George W. Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Republican presidential caucus were being held today between (names rotated) Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Rudy Giuliani, Newt Gingrich, Chuck Hagel, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, George Pataki, Mitt Romney, and Tommy Thompson, for whom would you vote?

Rudy Giuliani

31%

John McCain

25%

Newt Gingrich

22%

Mitt Romney

4%

Undecided

18%

If the 2008 Democratic presidential caucus were being held today between (names rotated) Joe Biden, Wesley Clark, Hillary Clinton, Christopher Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, John Kerry, Dennis Kucinich, Barak Obama, Bill Richardson, and Tom Vilsack, for whom would you vote?

Hillary Rodham Clinton

37%

Barack Obama

13%

John Edwards

9%

John Kerry

9%

Wesley Clark

4%

Chris Dodd

2%

Tom Vilsack

1%

Dennis Kucinich

1%

Joseph Biden

1%

Mike Gravel

1%

Bill Richardson

1%

Undecided

21%

Source: American Research Group
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 600 likely Republican caucus voters in Nevada, and 600 likely Democratic caucus voters in Nevada, conducted from Dec. 19 to Dec. 23, 2006. Margin of error is 4 per cent.