Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Hillary Trails Giuliani and McCain for 2008

December 10, 2006
Abstract: - Republican Rudy Giuliani could defeat Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton in the next United States presidential election, according to a poll by the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion released by WNBC. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor, while 43 per cent would support the current New York senator.

- Republican Rudy Giuliani could defeat Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton in the next United States presidential election, according to a poll by the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion released by WNBC. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor, while 43 per cent would support the current New York senator.

In a contest pitting Rodham Clinton against Republican Arizona senator John McCain, the outcome is identical, with McCain holding a six-point lead. The Democrat holds a four-point advantage when paired against U.S. state secretary Condoleezza Rice.

According to a campaign report filed on Dec. 7 with the Senate, Rodham Clinton spent $37.1 million U.S. in her 2006 Senate re-election campaign. The document shows that the Democrat has $14.3 million U.S. that could be rolled into a White House bid.

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election

Rudy Giuliani (R) 49% - 43% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
John McCain (R) 49% - 43% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Condoleezza Rice (R) 43% - 47% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

Source: Marist College Institute for Public Opinion / WNBC
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 967 registered American voters, conducted from Nov. 27 to Dec. 3, 2006. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.