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Liberals Lead Tories by Four Points in Canada

December 08, 2006

- Public support for the opposition Liberal party increased in Canada, according to a poll by Decima Research released by the Canadian Press. 35 per cent of respondents would vote for the Liberals in the next election to the House of Commons.

The governing Conservative party is second with 31 per cent, followed by the New Democratic Party (NDP) with 12 per cent, the Bloc Québécois with 10 per cent, and the Green party also with 10 per cent. Support for the Grits increased by two points since mid-November, while backing for the Tories remained stable.

Canadians renewed the House of Commons in January. The Conservative party—led by Stephen Harper—received 36.3 per cent of the vote, and secured 124 seats in the 308-member lower house. Since February, Harper leads a minority administration after more than 12 years of government by the Liberal party.

On Dec. 2, former environment minister Stéphane Dion became the new leader of the Liberal party, defeating academic Michael Ignatieff in the fourth and final delegate ballot with 54.7 per cent.

On Dec. 6, transport minister Lawrence Cannon said the media was responsible for the sudden rise of the Liberals, declaring, "'Give me 48 hours of continuous exposure on television and I'll probably be more popular than I am now."

Polling Data

What party would you vote for in the next federal election?

Dec. 3

Nov. 13

Nov. 5

Liberal

35%

33%

28%

Conservative

31%

31%

31%

New Democratic Party

12%

15%

18%

Bloc Québécois

10%

10%

9%

Green

10%

10%

9%

Source: Decima Research / Canadian Press
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,025 Canadian adults, conducted from Nov. 30 to Dec. 3, 2006. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.