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Canadian Liberals Lead in Post-Convention Poll

December 05, 2006

- The opposition Liberal party has become the most popular political organization in Canada, according to a poll by The Strategic Counsel released by CTV and the Globe and Mail. 37 per cent of respondents would vote for the Liberals in the next federal election.

The governing Conservative party is second with 31 per cent, followed by the New Democratic Party (NDP) with 14 per cent, the Bloc Québécois with 11 per cent, and the Green party with seven per cent. Support for the Grits increased by five points since mid-October, while backing for the Tories dropped by one point.

Canadians renewed the House of Commons in January. The Conservative party—led by Stephen Harper—received 36.3 per cent of the vote, and secured 124 seats in the 308-member lower house. Since February, Harper leads a minority administration after more than 12 years of government by the Liberal party.

On Dec. 2, former environment minister Stéphane Dion became the new leader of the Liberal party, defeating academic Michael Ignatieff in the fourth and final delegate ballot with 54.7 per cent.

Yesterday, Treasury Board president John Baird questioned Dion's record as a minister, declaring, "He was part of the Liberal team during the entire Liberal debacle on the environment. He can't escape the collective responsibility."

The Liberals had not led a federal voting intention poll conducted by The Strategic Counsel since early January.

Polling Data

How would you vote if an election were held today?

Dec. 3

Oct. 15

Sept. 17

Liberal

37%

32%

26%

Conservative

31%

32%

35%

New Democratic Party

14%

17%

19%

Bloc Québécois

11%

11%

12%

Green

7%

9%

8%

Source: The Strategic Counsel / CTV / The Globe and Mail
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,000 Canadian adults, conducted on Dec. 3, 2006. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.