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Tories Lead by Eight Points in Canada

November 08, 2006

- The governing Conservative party remains the most popular political organization in Canada, according to a poll by Ipsos-Reid released by CanWest Global. 37 per cent of respondents would support the Tories in the next federal election.

The Liberal party is second with 29 per cent, followed by the New Democratic Party (NDP) with 19 per cent, the Bloc Québécois with nine per cent, and the Green party with five per cent. Support for the Tories fell by one point, while backing for the NDP increased by two points.

Canadians renewed the House of Commons in January. The Conservative party—led by Stephen Harper—received 36.3 per cent of the vote, and secured 124 seats in the 308-member lower house. Since February, Harper leads a minority administration after more than 12 years of government by the Liberal party.

On Nov. 6, finance minister Jim Flaherty discussed the implementation of a plan to tax distributions from income trusts saying, "I realize there's been some hardship and I'm sorry. But this was necessary, regrettably necessary, but necessary for fairness and for the sake of the Canadian economy."

Once the motion is approved by the House of Commons, new income trusts would be required to pay taxes to the federal government in 2007. Existing income trusts would be exempt until 2011.

Polling Data

What party would you vote for in the next federal election?

Nov. 2006

Aug. 2006

Jul. 2006

Conservative

37%

38%

39%

Liberal

29%

29%

27%

New Democratic Party

19%

17%

17%

Bloc Québécois

9%

10%

10%

Green

5%

5%

7%

Source: Ipsos-Reid / CanWest Global
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,002 Canadian adults, conducted from Oct. 31 to Nov. 2, 2006. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.