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Washington U.S. Senate: Cantwell 53%, McGavick 42%
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- Democrat Maria Cantwell could earn a new term as one of Washington's representatives to the United States Senate, according to the latest poll by Strategic Vision. 53 per cent of respondents would support the incumbent, while 42 per cent would vote for Republican challenger Mike McGavick.
An early November survey by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. gave Cantwell a 16-point edge over McGavick. Green Party candidate Aaron Dixon, Libertarian Party candidate Bruce Guthrie and independent Robin Adair are also contending.
Cantwell was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2000, defeating incumbent Republican Slade Gorton by just over 2,000 ballots. Cantwell had previously served for one term in the U.S. House of Representatives.
In July 2005, McGavick announced he was stepping down as president and chief executive officer of Safeco to explore a Senate run.
On Sept. 19, Cantwell won the Democratic primary with 90.9 per cent of the vote, while McGavick prevailed in the GOP contest with 85.8 per cent.
The election will take place today.
Polling Data
Election 2006 - Washington Senate
Incumbent: Maria Cantwell (D)
Challengers Mike McGavick (R), Aaron Dixon (G), Bruce Guthrie (L), Robin Adair (I)
Cantwell (D) | McGavick (R) | Date | Methodology | MofE | |
Strategic Vision | 53% | 42% | Nov. 2-4 | Phone, 800 LV | 3.0 |
Mason-Dixon | 54% | 38% | Oct. 31-Nov. 1 | Phone, 625 LV | 4.0 |
University of Washington | 53% | 41% | Oct. 25-31 | Phone, 700 RV | 3.7 |
Rasmussen Reports | 52% | 41% | Oct. 26 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Mason-Dixon | 52% | 37% | Oct. 17-19 | Phone, 625 LV | 4.0 |
Strategic Vision | 51% | 42% | Oct. 16-18 | Phone, 800 LV | 3.0 |
SurveyUSA | 51% | 43% | Oct. 13-15 | Phone, 848 LV | 3.4 |
Mason-Dixon | 50% | 40% | Sept. 24-27 | Phone, 625 LV | 4.0 |
SurveyUSA | 54% | 42% | Sept. 21-25 | Phone, 481 LV | 3.0 |
Strategic Vision | 49% | 40% | Sept. 22-24 | Phone, 800 LV | 3.0 |
Rasmussen | 48% | 42% | Sept. 20 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Rasmussen | 52% | 35% | Sept. 6 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
SurveyUSA | 53% | 36% | Aug. 28-29 | Phone, 669 RV | 3.9 |
Strategic | 48% | 43% | Aug. 25-27 | Phone, 800 LV | 3.0 |
Rasmussen | 46% | 40% | Aug. 15 | Phone, 500 LV | 3.0 |
Strategic Vision | 48% | 44% | Jul. 21-23 | Phone, 800 LV | 3.0 |
Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 37% | Jul. 17 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Strategic | 47% | 43% | Jun. 23-25 | Phone, 800 LV | 3.0 |
LV: Likely voters
RV: Registered voters
Ad: Adults
MofE: Margin of error