Issue Watch

About Angus Reid Global Monitor

The definitive online source for examining worldwide public opinion and democratic processes.

The Global Monitor is a vital source of timely political intelligence for journalists, students, policy makers, and citizens. By merging academic expertise with the highest journalistic standards, we seek to advance research, improve information exchange, and enhance understanding of the changing dynamic of public opinion and democracy.
Read More

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

All fields are required.

New Jersey U.S. Senate: Menendez 50%, Kean 42%

November 07, 2006

- Robert Menendez holds the lead in the race for one of New Jersey's seats in the United States Senate, according to the latest poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. 48 per cent of respondents in the Garden State would vote for the Democrat, while 43 per cent would support Republican Tom Kean.

An early November survey by Strategic Vision gave Menendez a seven-point edge over Kean.

In the November 2005 gubernatorial election, Jon Corzine—a Democrat—defeated Republican candidate Doug Forrester with 54 per cent of all cast ballots. Corzine had served as New Jersey's junior senator since 2001. Menendez will serve out the remaining one year of Corzine's Senate term.

Menendez was first elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1992. Born to Cuban parents, he is currently one of only three Hispanics in the upper house.

Kean has served as a New Jersey state senator since 2003, and was also a special assistant at the federal Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

Both Kean and Menendez won their respective primaries on Jun. 6. Kean defeated financial data analyst John P. Ginty, while Menendez won against James D. Kelly Jr.

New Jersey voters have not elected a Republican to a full term in the U.S. Senate since Clifford Casey in 1972. The election will take place today.

Polling Data

Election 2006 - New Jersey U.S. Senate

Incumbent: Robert Menendez (D)
Challenger: Tom Kean Jr. (R)

Menendez (D)

Kean (R)

Date

Methodology

MofE

Quinnipiac University

48%

43%

Oct. 30-Nov. 5

Phone, 917 LV

3.2

Strategic Vision

49%

42%

Nov. 2-4

Phone, 1,200 LV

3.0

Gallup

50%

40%

Nov. 1-4

Phone, 877 LV

4.0

Marist College

50%

42%

Nov. 1-3

Phone, 619 LV

4.5

Monmouth University

45%

42%

Nov. 1-3

Phone, 1,086 LV

3.0

Mason-Dixon

48%

41%

Nov. 1-3

Phone, 625 LV

4.0

Public Opinion Strategies

43%

41%

Oct. 31-Nov. 2

Phone, 600 LV

4.0

Rasmussen Reports

48%

43%

Nov. 1

Phone, 500 LV

4.5

Rutgers-Eagleton

46%

42%

Oct. 29-31

Phone, 500 LV

4.5

FDU Public Mind

48%

38%

Oct. 25-31

Phone, 577 LV

4.0

Zogby / Reuters

49%

37%

Oct. 24-31

Phone, 600 LV

4.0

Opinion Research Corporation

51%

44%

Oct. 26-29

Phone, 577 LV

4.0

Zogby Interactive

49%

43%

Oct. 23-27

Online, 900 LV

3.3

Quinnipac University

49%

44%

Oct. 23-29

Phone, 887 LV

3.3

Research 2000

48%

42%

Oct. 23-25

Phone, 600 LV

4.0

CBS / NYT

40%

39%

Oct. 20-25

Phone, 522 LV

4.0

Rasmussen Reports

41%

43%

Oct. 25

Phone, 500 LV

4.5

Bloomberg / LA Times

45%

41%

Oct. 20-23

Phone, 314 LV

5.5

Mason-Dixon

45%

42%

Oct. 18-21

Phone, 625 LV

4.0

Monmouth University

48%

39%

Oct. 10-16

Phone, 396 LV

4.9

Zogby Interactive

45%

47%

Oct. 10-16

Online, 902 LV

3.3

Rasmussen Reports

42%

39%

Oct. 11

Phone, 500 LV

4.5

Quinnipiac University

49%

45%

Oct. 4-10

Phone, 761 LV

3.6

Zobgy / Reuters

46%

35%

Sept. 25-Oct. 2

Phone, 601 LV

4.5

FDU Public Mind

42%

37%

Sept. 27-Oct. 2

Phone, 514 LV

4.0

Gallup

46%

43%

Sept. 27-Oct. 1

Phone, 542 LV

5.0

Strategic Vision

41%

46%

Sept. 29-Oct. 1

Phone, 800 LV

3.0

Mason-Dixon

44%

41%

Sept. 24-27

Phone, 625 LV

4.0

Marist College

37%

42%

Sept. 28

Phone, 460 RV

4.5

Rutgers-Eagleton

45%

44%

Sept. 24-26

Phone, 404 LV

5.0

Monmouth
University

38%

44%

Sept. 18-21

Phone, 391 LV

5.0

Quinnipiac
University

45%

48%

Sept. 13-18

Phone, 688 LV

3.3

Strategic
Vision

40%

44%

Sept. 8-10

Phone, 800 LV

3.0

Zogby
Interactive

40%

40%

Aug. 29-Sept. 5

Online, 761 LV

3.6

Rasmussen
Reports

39%

44%

Aug. 28

Phone, 500 LV

4.0

FDU Public
Mind

39%

43%

Aug. 21-27

Phone, 651 RV

4.0

Zogby
Interactive

43%

41%

Aug. 15-21

Online, 715 LV

3.7

Strategic
Vision

42%

40%

Aug. 11-13

Phone, 800 LV

3.0

Rasmussen
Reports

44%

38%

Jul. 25

Phone, 500 LV

4.5

FDU Public Mind

43%

40%

Jul. 10-16

Phone, 675 RV

4.0

Monmouth
University

38%

37%

Jul. 11-13

Phone, 670 RV

3.8

Quinnipiac
University

38%

40%

Jul. 8-12

Phone, 985 RV

3.0

Strategic Vision

43%

37%

Jul. 7-9

Phone, 800 LV

3.0

Rasmussen
Reports

46%

40%

Jun. 21

Phone, 500 LV

4.5

Zogby
Interactive

41%

40%

Jun. 13-19

Online, 792 LV

3.6

LV: Likely voters
RV: Registered voters
Ad: Adults
MofE: Margin of error

Previous polls from this race