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Florida U.S. Senate: Nelson 58%, Harris 35%
- Incumbent Bill Nelson could earn a new term as one of Florida's representatives to the United States Senate, according to the latest poll by Strategic Vision. 58 per cent of respondents in the Sunshine State would vote for the Democrat, while 35 per cent would support Republican Katherine Harris.
An early November poll by SurveyUSA also gave Nelson a 23-point lead over Harris.
Nelson was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 2000, defeating Republican Bill McCollum with 52 per cent of the vote in a ballot to replace the retiring Connie Mack III.
Harris served as Florida's state secretary from 1999 to 2002. She presided over the highly contested 2000 presidential election, where weeks of recounts and court injunctions concluded in a 537-vote victory for Republican George W. Bush over Democrat Al Gore in the Sunshine State. Harris was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 2002, and earned a new two-year term in 2004.
In the Sept. 5 GOP primary ballot, Harris defeated three rivals—retired naval officer LeRoy Collins Jr., former federal official Peter Monroe and immigration lawyer William McBride—with 49 per cent of the vote.
The election will take place today.
Polling Data
Election 2006 - Florida U.S. Senate
Incumbent: Bill Nelson (D)
Challenger: Katherine Harris (R)
Nelson (D) | Harris (R) | Date | Methodology | MofE | |
Strategic Vision | 58% | 35% | Nov. 2-4 | Phone, 1,200 LV | 3.0 |
SurveyUSA | 59% | 36% | Nov. 2-4 | Phone, 682 LV | 3.8 |
Zogby International | 60% | 31% | Oct. 31-Nov. 2 | Phone, 804 LV | 3.5 |
Mason-Dixon | 58% | 34% | Oct. 31-Nov. 1 | Phone, 625 LV | 4.0 |
Strategic Vision | 59% | 33% | Oct. 29-31 | Phone, 1,200 LV | 3.0 |
Schroth/Eldon & Associates | 56% | 30% | Oct. 22-25 | Phone, 800 LV | 3.5 |
Strategic Vision | 58% | 35% | Oct. 20-22 | Phone, 1,200 LV | 3.0 |
Quinnipiac University | 64% | 29% | Oct. 18-22 | Phone, 816 LV | 3.4 |
Mason-Dixon | 57% | 31% | Oct. 16-17 | Phone, 625 LV | 4.0 |
SurveyUSA | 55% | 37% | Oct. 7-9 | Phone, 514 LV | 4.4 |
Quinnipiac University | 61% | 33% | Oct. 3-8 | Phone, 783 LV | 3.5 |
Rasmussen Reports | 54% | 37% | Oct. 2 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Research 2000 | 55% | 37% | Sept. 18-20 | Phone, 600 LV | 4.0 |
SurveyUSA | 53% | 38% | Sept. 11-13 | Phone, 512 LV | 4.4 |
Zogby | 51% | 33% | Aug. 29-Sept. 5 | Online, 1,005 LV | 3.1 |
Rasmussen | 57% | 34% | Aug. 28 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Strategic | 63% | 20% | Aug. 25-27 | Phone, 1,200 LV | 3.0 |
Quinnipiac | 61% | 24% | Jul. 19-24 | Phone, 1,541 RV | 2.5 |
Strategic Vision | 60% | 22% | Jul. 21-23 | Phone, 1,200 LV | 3.0 |
Mason-Dixon | 57% | 29% | Jul. 19-21 | Phone, 625 LV | 4.0 |
Quinnipiac | 59% | 26% | Jun. 20-26 | Phone, 1,311 RV | 2.7 |
Strategic | 61% | 26% | Jun. 13-19 | Phone, 1,200 LV | 3.0 |
LV: Likely voters
RV: Registered voters
Ad: Adults
MofE: Margin of error