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Mexico’s Calderón, López Obrador Even at 34%
(Angus Reid Global Scan) - The main contenders in Mexico's presidential race are tied, according to a poll by Consulta Mitofsky. 34 per cent of respondents would vote for former energy secretary Felipe Calderón of the governing National Action Party (PAN), while 34 per cent would support former Mexico City mayor Andrés Manuel López Obrador of the Democratic Revolution Party (PRD).
Former Tabasco governor Roberto Madrazo of the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) is in third place with 28 per cent, followed by Patricia Mercado of the Social-Democratic and Peasant Alternative Party (PASC) with three per cent, and Roberto Campa of the New Alliance Party (PNA) with one per cent.
López Obrador did not take part in the Apr. 25 presidential debate. The PRD nominee will attend a second and final meeting of candidates on Jun. 6. Support for Calderón fell by one point since early May, while backing for López Obrador remained stable.
The PAN's Vicente Fox ended 71 years of uninterrupted rule by the PRI in the 2000 election, winning a six-year term with 42.5 per cent of the vote.
Yesterday, PRD campaign coordinator Jesús Ortega expressed confidence on a good showing from López Obrador at the debate, declaring, "He will win convincingly; he will address the country as a head of state and with the cautious and purposeful leadership that the country needs."
The Mexican presidential election is scheduled for Jul. 2.
Polling Data
Who would you vote for in the 2006 presidential election if the following candidates were contending?
May 28 | May 2 | Mar. 2006 | |
Felipe Calderón (PAN) | 34% | 35% | 31% |
Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD) | 34% | 34% | 38% |
Roberto Madrazo (PRI) | 28% | 27% | 29% |
Patricia Mercado (PASC) | 3% | 3% | 1% |
Roberto Campa (PNA) | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Source: Consulta Mitofsky
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,400 Mexican adults, conducted from May 23 to May 28, 2006. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.
