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President Uribe Tops 60% Mark in Colombia
(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Álvaro Uribe is heavily favoured to win this Sunday's presidential election in Colombia, according to a poll by Invamer Gallup. 61.2 per cent of respondents would vote for the incumbent.
Former Constitutional Court president Carlos Gaviria of the Democratic Independent Pole (PDI) is second with 20.4 per cent, followed by Organization of American States (OAS) ambassador Horacio Serpa of the Liberal Party (PL) with 13.7 per cent. Antanas Mockus of the Visionary Party (PV), Carlos Rincón of the Colombian Community and Communal Political Movement (MPCCC), and Enrique Parejo of Democratic Revival (RD) are also contending.
Uribe took office in August 2002, after winning the presidential election as a semi-independent candidate under the Colombia First (PC) banner with 53.1 per cent of all cast ballots. A constitutional amendment has allowed the head of state—who had been a member of the PL—to run for re-election.
On May 19, Gaviria expressed satisfaction with his second-place standing, saying, "These are good news, but I get an even better feeling from the people I meet. I don't discard polls, but I trust more in what my senses are telling me, so I am very optimistic."
The presidential election is scheduled for May 28. A candidate must receive more than 50 per cent of all cast ballots to avoid a second round.
Polling Data
Who would you vote for in the 2006 presidential election?
May 2006 | Apr. 2006 | Mar. 2006 | |
Álvaro Uribe | 61.2% | 55.7% | 64.1% |
Carlos Gaviria (PDI) | 20.4% | 14.3% | 9.9% |
Horacio Serpa (PL) | 13.7% | 17.9% | 19.6% |
Antanas Mockus (PV) | 0.9% | 2.8% | -- |
Carlos Rincón (MPCCC) | 0.1% | 0.2% | -- |
Source: Invamer Gallup
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,200 Colombian adults, conducted from May 12 to May 15, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.