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Calderón Holds Five-Point Edge in Mexico
(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Felipe Calderón of the governing National Action Party (PAN) is the top presidential contender in Mexico, according to a poll by Ulises Beltrán y Asociados published in La Crónica de Hoy. 37 per cent of respondents would support the PAN candidate in this year's election.
Former Mexico City mayor Andrés Manuel López Obrador of the Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) is second with 32 per cent, followed by former Tabasco governor Roberto Madrazo of the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) with 27 per cent. Patricia Mercado of the Social-Democratic and Peasant Alternative Party (PASC) and Roberto Campa of the New Alliance Party (PNA) are also contending.
Support for Calderón increased by three points since March, while backing for López Obrador and Madrazo fell by four points and one point respectively. López Obrador did not take part in the Apr. 25 presidential debate. The PRD nominee will attend a second and final meeting of candidates on Jun. 6.
The PAN's Vicente Fox ended 71 years of uninterrupted rule by the PRI in the 2000 election, winning a six-year term with 42.5 per cent of the vote.
Yesterday, Zapatista National Liberation Army (EZLN) spokesman Marcos said he expected López Obrador to win the election. Marcos added that "not even Madrazo's own relatives" find the PRI nominee credible, and that Calderón represents "the continuation of the hazy profile of an administrator that Fox is."
The Mexican presidential election is scheduled for Jul. 2.
Polling Data
What candidate would you vote for in the 2006 presidential election?
(Decided Voters)
May 2006 | Apr. 2006 | |
Felipe Calderón (PAN) | 37% | 34% |
Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD) | 32% | 36% |
Roberto Madrazo (PRI) | 27% | 28% |
Source: Ulises Beltrán y Asociados / La Crónica de Hoy
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,200 Mexican adults, conducted from Apr. 30 to May 3, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.