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López Obrador Loses Four Points in Mexico
(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Support for Andrés Manuel López Obrador of the Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) fell this month in Mexico, according to a poll by El Universal. 38 per cent of decided voters would support the former Mexico City mayor in this year's presidential election.
Former energy secretary Felipe Calderón of the governing National Action Party (PAN) is second with 34 per cent, followed by former Tabasco governor Roberto Madrazo of the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) with 25 per cent. Patricia Mercado of the Social-Democratic and Peasant Alternative Party (PASC) and Roberto Campa of the New Alliance Party (PNA) are also contending.
Support for López Obrador fell by four points since March, while backing for Calderón and Madrazo increased by two points and one point respectively.
The PAN's Vicente Fox ended 71 years of uninterrupted rule by the PRI in the 2000 election, winning a six-year term with 42.5 per cent of the vote.
Yesterday, Madrazo—who has consistently placed third in the voting intention surveys—dismissed being concerned about his showing, saying, "I think the only person who is worried about the numbers is López Obrador, because there is not a single survey where he is not coming down."
The Mexican presidential election is scheduled for Jul. 2.
Polling Data
What candidate would you vote for in the 2006 presidential election?
(Decided Voters)
Apr. 2006 | Mar. 2006 | Feb. 2006 | |
Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD) | 38% | 42% | 30% |
Felipe Calderón (PAN) | 34% | 32% | 27% |
Roberto Madrazo (PRI) | 25% | 24% | 22% |
Source: El Universal
Methodology: Interviews with 1,500 Mexican adults, conducted from Apr. 5 to Apr. 8, 2006. Margin of error is 3.2 per cent.