Issue Watch

About Angus Reid Global Monitor

The definitive online source for examining worldwide public opinion and democratic processes.

The Global Monitor is a vital source of timely political intelligence for journalists, students, policy makers, and citizens. By merging academic expertise with the highest journalistic standards, we seek to advance research, improve information exchange, and enhance understanding of the changing dynamic of public opinion and democracy.
Read More

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

All fields are required.

Polls & Research

Archive Search


Advanced Search

Humala Still First, Run-Off Certain in Peru

April 04, 2006

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Ollanta Humala of the Peruvian Nationalist Party (PNP) remains the most popular presidential nominee in Peru, according to a poll by Apoyo published in El Comercio. 31 per cent of respondents would vote for Humala in this Sunday's ballot, down two points in a week.

Lourdes Flores Nano of the Popular Christian Party (PPC) is second with 26 per cent, followed by former president Alan García of the American Revolutionary People's Alliance (APRA) with 23 per cent, Martha Chávez of New Majority (NM) with seven per cent, and former head of state Valentín Paniagua of Popular Action (AP) with four per cent.

The presidential election is scheduled for Apr. 9. If no candidate garners more than 50 per cent of all cast ballots, a run-off will take place on May 7. In a prospective second round scenario, Flores Nano would defeat Humala with 55 per cent. Either contender would win against García if the former president were to reach the run-off.

On Mar. 31, Humala said the current government does not have the support to sign the proposed free trade agreement with the United States, adding, "If it truly responds to the national interests, and no jobs are jeopardized, it will be signed."

Alejandro Toledo won the June 2001 election as the Possible Peru (PP) nominee over the APRA's García. The current president cannot seek a consecutive term in office.

Polling Data

Which candidate would you vote for in the next presidential election?

Mar. 31

Mar. 24

Mar. 17

Ollanta Humala (PNP)

31%

33%

32%

Lourdes Flores Nano (PPC)

26%

27%

28%

Alan García (APRA)

23%

22%

21%

Martha Chávez (NM)

7%

7%

7%

Valentín Paniagua (AP)

4%

6%

6%

Run-Off Scenarios

Lourdes Flores Nano (PPC) 55% - 45% Ollanta Humala (PNP)
Lourdes Flores Nano (PPC) 58% - 42% Alan García (APRA)
Ollanta Humala (PNP) 51% - 49% Alan García (APRA)

Source: Apoyo / El Comercio
Methodology: Interviews with 2,000 Peruvian adults, conducted from Mar. 29 to Mar. 31, 2006. Margin of error is 2.2 per cent.