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Canada Election 2006: Last Poll Gives Tories Six-Point Lead
(Angus Reid Global Scan) - The opposition Conservative party could become the most popular political organization in Canada, according to a three-day rolling poll released today by SES Research and CPAC. 36 per cent of respondents would support the Tories in tomorrow's House of Commons ballot.
The governing Liberal party is second with 30 per cent, followed by the New Democratic Party (NDP) with 17 per cent, the Bloc Québécois with 10 per cent, and the Green party with six per cent.
Support for the Grits increased by one point, while backing for the Bloc fell by the same margin. The Liberal party has formed the government since 1993.
Background - How it began, how we got here
Campaign Log - Day-to-day coverage of parties and leaders
The Numbers - Where the parties stand, where they go
Live Commentary - Who's winning, who's losing, why it matters
Polling Data
If a federal election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences? (First ranked reported) (*)
Jan. 22 | Jan. 21 | Jan. 20 | Jan. 19 | |
Conservative | 36% | 36% | 36% | 37% |
Liberal | 30% | 29% | 29% | 31% |
New Democratic Party | 17% | 17% | 19% | 17% |
Bloc Québécois | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Green | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% |
(*) Release date
Source: SES Research / CPAC
Methodology: A national random telephone survey is conducted nightly by SES Research throughout the campaign. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. Margin of error is 2.9 per cent.
This survey included responses collected on Jan. 20, Jan. 21 and Jan. 22, 2006.
