Issue Watch

About Angus Reid Global Monitor

The definitive online source for examining worldwide public opinion and democratic processes.

The Global Monitor is a vital source of timely political intelligence for journalists, students, policy makers, and citizens. By merging academic expertise with the highest journalistic standards, we seek to advance research, improve information exchange, and enhance understanding of the changing dynamic of public opinion and democracy.
Read More

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

All fields are required.

Morales Now Five Points Ahead in Bolivia

December 07, 2005

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Movement to Socialism (MAS) candidate Evo Morales continues to lead all contenders in Bolivia, according to a poll by Grupo Ipsos Captura. 32.8 per cent of respondents would vote for the indigenous leader in this month's presidential election.

Former head of state Jorge Quiroga of We Can (Podemos) is second with 27.7 per cent, followed by Samuel Doria Medina of the National Unity Front (FUN) with 9.4 per cent, and Michiaki Nagatani of the Nationalist Revolutionary Movement (MNR) with 5.5 per cent.

The remaining presidential candidates are Felipe Quispe of the Indigenous Pachakuti Movement (MIP), Gildo Angulo of the New Republican Force (NFR), Néstor García of the Bolivian Workers Social Union (USTB) and Eliseo Rodríguez of the Bolivian Farming Patriotic Front (FREPAB).

In June, a series of demonstrations calling for the nationalization of the hydrocarbon industry and constitutional amendments forced the resignation of interim president Carlos Mesa. Former chief justice of the Supreme Court Eduardo Rodríguez became the country's head of state, promising to hold a presidential election before the end of the year.

On Nov. 2, the election was re-scheduled for Dec. 18 after a deal was reached to finalize the regional allocation of legislative seats. A constituent assembly and a referendum on the current division of powers would take place in July 2006.

On Dec. 4, the government called for an inquiry over a statement by MAS member Román Loayza, who said his political party would reach power "either by good or bad means" and added that MAS politicians had already contacted members of the military and police officers.

On Dec. 5, Morales accused interim president Rodríguez of becoming involved in the campaign, saying, "The president has joined the race in support of one of the traditional, neo-liberal parties, thereby collaborating in a dirty war against the MAS."

Polling Data

If these candidates ran for president, which one would you support?

Nov. 27

Nov. 6

Evo Morales (MAS)

32.8%

30.7%

Jorge Quiroga (Podemos)

27.7%

28.7%

Samuel Doria Medina (FUN)

9.4%

13.9%

Michiaki Nagatani (MNR)

5.5%

5.0%

Source: Grupo Ipsos Captura
Methodology: Interviews with 3,248 adult Bolivians in ten cities, conducted from Nov. 23 to Nov. 27, 2005. Margin of error is 2 per cent.