Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Minnesota: Obama 53%, McCain 41%

September 05, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama is ahead of Republican John McCain in the North Star State, according to a poll by Opinion Research Corporation. 53 per cent of respondents would back the Illinois senator in this year’s United States presidential election, while 41 per cent would vote for the Arizona senator.

In a poll by Minnesota Public Radio and the Humphrey Institute, Obama holds a ten-point advantage over McCain.

In 2004, Democrat John Kerry carried Minnesota’s 10 electoral votes, with 51 per cent of all cast ballots. The last Republican to win the North Star State in a presidential election was Richard Nixon in 1972.

U.S. president George W. Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Minnesota - 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

Contenders: John McCain (R), Barack Obama (D)

 

McCain (R)

Obama (D)

Other / Not sure

Date

(11) Opinion Research Corp. 41% 53% 6% Aug. 31-Sept. 2
(10) MPR / HI 38% 48% 14% Aug. 7-17
(9) SurveyUSA 45% 47% 8% Aug. 13-14
(8) Rasmussen Reports 45% 49% 6% Aug. 13
(7) Rasmussen Reports 37% 49% 14% Jul. 22
(6) Quinnipiac University 44% 46% 10% Jul. 14-44
(5) Rasmussen Reports 34% 52% 14% Jul. 10
(4) Quinnipiac University 37% 54% 9% Jun. 17-24
(3) SurveyUSA 46% 47% 7% Jun. 13-16
(2) Rasmussen Reports 39% 52% 9% Jun. 11

(1) SurveyUSA

42%

47%

12%

May 16-18

(11) Opinion Research Corporation - Telephone interviews with 742 registered Minnesota voters, conducted from Aug. 31 to Sept. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(10) Minnesota Public Radio / Humphrey Institute - Telephone interviews to 763 likely Minnesota voters, conducted from Aug. 7 to Aug. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 3.6 per cent.
(9) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews to 682 likely Minnesota voters, conducted on Aug. 13 and Aug. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(8) Rasmussen Reports
- Telephone interviews with 700 registered Minnesota voters, conducted on Aug. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(7) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 registered Minnesota voters, conducted on Jul. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(6) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute - Telephone interviews with 1,261 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted from Jul. 14 to Jul. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.

(5) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 registered Minnesota voters, conducted on Jul. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(4) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute - Telephone interviews with 1,572 likely Minnesota voters, conducted from Jun. 17 to Jun. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.
(3) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews with 543 likely Minnesota voters, conducted from Jun. 13 to Jun. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(2) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 registered Minnesota voters, conducted on Jun. 11, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(1) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews to 600 registered Minnesota voters, conducted from May 16 to May 18, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.

 

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